Quinnipiac University confirma que la elección senatorial de Connecticut puede ser competitiva. Otorga al demócrata Blumenthal una corta ventaja de seis puntos (51% - 45%) -en el anterior sondeo eran 10 puntos (50% - 40%). Dicen que Blumenthal es un deficiente campaigner pero eso sólo no explica su pérdida de ventaja. Un 70% aprueba su gestión como Fiscal General de Connecticut, sin embargo cerca de una tercera parte de los que lo aprueban se resiste a votarle para el Senado. La explicación puede estar, una vez más, en Barack Obama: el 52% de los electores de Connecticut desaprueban al Presidente, y sólo el 45% lo aprueban. Hasta ahora en la Casa Blanca veían a Blumenthal como a uno de los pocos candidatos demócratas en problemas a los que el Presidente podía echar una mano con una visita...
(...) Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Democrat, leads Republican former wrestling executive Linda McMahon 51 - 45 percent among likely voters in the U.S. Senate race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Another 3 percent are undecided and 11 percent of those who do name a candidate say they could change their mind by Election Day. This is the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University's first general election likely voter survey in Connecticut in this election cycle and can not be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters.
In today's survey, conducted by telephone with live interviewers, Blumenthal leads 87 - 10 percent among Democrats and gets 47 percent of independent voters to McMahon's 46 percent. McMahon leads 91 - 9 percent among Republicans. Women back Blumenthal 56 - 41 percent, while men split 47 - 48 percent.
Among those backing McMahon, 42 percent say their vote is mainly against Blumenthal, while 53 percent say they mainly are pro-McMahon. Blumenthal backers are 22 percent anti- McMahon and 73 percent pro-Blumenthal.
"This is now a 6 point race among likely voters. With seven weeks to go and lots of money to be spent, anything can happen," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.
"For Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, an elected official with a 70 percent approval rating, this race is surprisingly close. It is not that voters are wild about McMahon; her favorability rating is tepid. And many of her supporters are more anti-Blumenthal."
"The question is whether Linda McMahon can ride the anti-establishment, anti-Democratic wave to victory in blue Connecticut, a state that hasn't voted for a Republican for Senator since Lowell Weicker in 1982," Dr. Schwartz added.
"President Barack Obama appears to be a drag on Blumenthal, even in Connecticut, where the President's job approval rating is a negative 45 - 52 percent. (...)